Brann II vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
12º
10º
13
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
2 - 2
BRA
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
KVI
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 3
STB
45%
22%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 1
STB
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
STR
5 - 1
ULL
67%
16%
17%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
0 - 1
TRO
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
6 - 1
ULL
70%
17%
12%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 3
ALT
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |