Brann II vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
5º
40
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 4
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 3
KVI
70%
17%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 2
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
NOT
50%
21%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FFC
3 - 3
BRA
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
VIK
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
JER
1 - 1
SSK
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
JER
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
LYS
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |