Brann II vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
13º
5º
24
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FFC
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
JER
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 4
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 3
KVI
70%
17%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KVI
0 - 3
FKA
20%
21%
58%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
LYS
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 1
FKA
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ORN
1 - 1
FKA
25%
22%
53%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |