FA Cup Previa 2
Global 5-3
Braintree Town vs Weymouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braintree Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WEY
0 - 0
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
SOU
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
GAT
3 - 1
BRA
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Weymouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WEY
0 - 0
BRA
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 3
WEY
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BIL
0 - 1
WEY
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
CIR
0 - 3
WEY
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
RED
1 - 1
WEY
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |