Braintree Town vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braintree Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
WOK
0 - 1
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
EAS
52%
25%
22%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
DOV
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 2
BRA
20%
26%
55%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
EBB
0 - 0
BRA
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
DOR
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 2
THU
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 1
DAR
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 1
THU
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 0
THU
69%
19%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |