Braintree Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braintree Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
TAM
0 - 0
BRA
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
WEY
1 - 2
BRA
24%
23%
52%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHE
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NUN
1 - 1
BRA
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 3
WEL
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FLE
4 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 1
SOU
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
PLY
0 - 0
NEW
19%
26%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 0
YOR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 0
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |