Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
RB Bragantino vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 0
BRA
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRI
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MIR
1 - 1
SAO
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
RIO
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAO
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
MIR
42%
26%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |