RB Bragantino vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
PPE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
4 - 2
BOA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
BRA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
5 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CEA
0 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |