RB Bragantino vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
BRA
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ITU
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
MIR
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
PAU
3 - 0
ECS
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 2
MIR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
ECS
1 - 0
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 4
PAU
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAU
0 - 0
COR
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |