RB Bragantino vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
BRA
76%
17%
7%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 3
MIR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
COR
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 4
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 3
COR
16%
23%
62%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 1
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
MOG
2 - 1
PAU
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAU
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
NOR
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |