RB Bragantino vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BRA
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
OES
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAL
16%
25%
59%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
13%
23%
64%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 0
PPE
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
ITU
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
ITU
39%
26%
36%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITU
2 - 2
BOT
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |