RB Bragantino vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
BRA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
4 - 0
OES
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 1
BRA
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PAL
3 - 3
ITU
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
58%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITU
4 - 0
MIR
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
USC
2 - 2
ITU
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
ITU
1 - 4
MIR
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |