Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-3
RB Bragantino vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 3
ATP
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 2
BRA
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ATP
2 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 0
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
COR
1 - 1
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
COR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |