RB Bragantino vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
BRA
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
SAO
21%
25%
55%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
FFL
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PAY
0 - 1
BRA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
PAL
12%
20%
68%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
COM
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |