RB Bragantino vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
GOI
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
BRA
14%
23%
64%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DUQ
2 - 6
BRA
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 1
ICA
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 2
BRA
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 0
DUQ
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 1
ASA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 2
NAU
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
0 - 1
SAL
79%
15%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |