Bragantino PA vs Vilhenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
BPA
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 0
IND
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CEC
0 - 1
BPA
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TAP
4 - 0
BPA
18%
20%
62%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -3 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BPA
0 - 2
PAY
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vilhenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
GUA
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 0
VIL
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
PIM
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 2
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |