Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Bragantino PA vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 1
BPA
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
BPA
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 2
BPA
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
BPA
2 - 1
SAO
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 1
BPA
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
PAY
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 0
NAU
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |