Bragantino PA vs Independiente PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
BPA
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
BPA
3 - 1
FAS
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
BPA
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BPA
3 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 2
BPA
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
4 - 0
IND
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
IND
0 - 2
GAL
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
IND
44%
26%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |