Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-3
Bragantino PA vs Floresta EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
BPA
43%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
3 - 0
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
BPA
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Floresta EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 2
FLO
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 3
MOT
37%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 2
FLO
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FLO
3 - 1
BPA
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |