Bragantino PA vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
81.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BPA
2 - 0
TAP
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BPA
0 - 0
CEC
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
PAY
1 - 0
BPA
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BPA
3 - 1
AGU
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
BPA
1 - 1
PAY
12%
18%
71%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEA
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
CEA
4%
11%
85%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |