Bragantino PA vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bragantino PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
TUN
4 - 0
BPA
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BPA
1 - 1
TUN
13%
18%
69%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BPA
3 - 2
IND
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SEC
2 - 1
BPA
17%
19%
65%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BPA
1 - 1
REM
9%
16%
76%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AGU
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAC
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FPI
3 - 1
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
4DE
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |