Braganca vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
57%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
44
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 2
MER
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 2
BRA
69%
19%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
AMA
12%
20%
68%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
BRA
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PEV
1 - 3
TIR
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TIR
2 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 0
TIR
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TIR
0 - 1
SMA
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |