Braganca vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PED
0 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
OSL
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIE
0 - 1
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIA
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
BRA
40%
29%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
VIE
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIA
42%
26%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
CER
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
OSL
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |