Braganca vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
3º
35
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18% | 75% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 25% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
OSL
3 - 3
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 1
DUM
33%
23%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REB
2 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 1
BRA
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
TIR
17%
21%
63%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
VSC
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
REB
0 - 1
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
VIL
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
OSA
49%
25%
25%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |