Braganca vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
14º
14º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
DUM
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
0 - 1
BRA
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 3
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
BRA
57%
21%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
BRA
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIA
15%
19%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |