Braganca vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Braganca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIA
1 - 0
BRA
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAR
20%
24%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MER
3 - 2
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
AGU
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
GRA
34%
23%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
RIO
3%
8%
89%
|
18 | 79 | 61 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
FCB
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +5 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 0
MON
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CCO
3 - 0
MON
71%
17%
13%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |