Bradford Park Avenue vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
BIS
2 - 1
BRA
24%
23%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
ALT
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
5 - 0
DRO
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 1
BRA
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 2
OXF
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WOR
1 - 2
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
COL
3 - 1
OXF
31%
25%
44%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
COL
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
GAI
18%
22%
61%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
COL
1 - 3
DRO
61%
20%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |