Bradford Park Avenue vs Chorley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
4 - 0
BRA
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 1
SAL
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 2
DAR
13%
20%
67%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 3
WOR
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
TOW
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
CHO
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHO
20%
24%
56%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 2
CHO
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
SAL
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |