Bradford Park Avenue vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
5 - 0
MUD
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 2
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 2
BRA
62%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
BRA
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
6 - 2
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
ASV
5 - 0
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |