EFL Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Bradford City vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 1
TOT
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
0 - 3
WHU
32%
28%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ARS
2 - 0
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 0
BRA
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 1
SHW
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BOU
3 - 1
REA
54%
25%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
REA
2 - 2
PNE
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
COL
3 - 2
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
POS
1 - 2
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
REA
1 - 2
LUT
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |