EFL Cup 1/32
Global 5-4
Bradford City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRI
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1995 |
SWI
4 - 1
BRA
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
WRE
1 - 2
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1995 |
BRA
0 - 4
WYC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
NTT
3 - 2
EVE
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
MFF
2 - 1
NTT
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
COV
1 - 1
NTT
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 1
NTT
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
NTT
1 - 1
WHU
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |