EFL Cup 1/16
Global 3-5
Bradford City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
CHE
2 - 1
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
BRA
1 - 0
WAL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
BRA
2 - 2
BUR
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 0
BRA
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
CUM
2 - 2
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
HUR
3 - 2
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
1 - 1
TRA
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
0 - 0
BRA
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
CHA
1 - 1
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
NOR
3 - 1
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |