Bradford City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 1
PNE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
OPA
3 - 0
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 1
COV
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 2
BUR
51%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
LEI
4 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
DER
2 - 2
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
DER
1 - 2
OLD
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
IPS
0 - 1
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
DER
0 - 2
PNE
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
0 - 1
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |