Bradford City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
DER
3 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 2
PNE
60%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
1 - 5
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
DER
3 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
DER
1 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
MUD
0 - 2
DER
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
2 - 2
DER
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
DER
1 - 1
MUD
54%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |