League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Bradford City vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
LEY
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
CRE
3 - 2
BRA
28%
28%
45%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
BRA
42%
29%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
GIL
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 0
BRA
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
CUM
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CUM
2 - 3
SAL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
CUM
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
CUM
2 - 2
STO
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CUM
0 - 0
NOR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |