Brackley Town vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
NUN
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
GAI
1 - 1
BRA
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
UNM
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 3
WOR
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 3
ALF
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
GAI
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
WOR
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
0 - 1
CHO
26%
25%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |