FA Cup 1/1024
Global 3-1
Brackley Town vs Scunthorpe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 2
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
WAR
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
26%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 2
BUX
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
3 - 1
SOU
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
SCU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SCU
4 - 1
SCA
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |