Brackley Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
KET
3 - 1
BRA
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
BOS
1 - 3
BRA
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GAT
2 - 0
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 3
BRA
19%
25%
56%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
CUR
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
HER
3 - 0
KET
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 1
KID
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
CHE
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |