FA Cup 1/256
Global 2-3
Brackley Town vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
KID
0 - 2
BRA
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
HAN
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAN
1 - 1
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 2
BRA
19%
25%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
4 - 2
COA
53%
23%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
BLY
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
2 - 1
GUI
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
GUI
39%
27%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 2
KET
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |