Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
STR
0 - 2
BRA
18%
23%
58%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
NOR
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
BAN
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 5
MKD
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 7
BRA
15%
23%
62%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 0
NOT
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 4
SCU
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 1
ALF
17%
20%
63%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 1
MAN
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 1
WAL
24%
24%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |