Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
COR
1 - 1
BRA
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TOW
1 - 0
BRA
57%
22%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TAM
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
2 - 2
SOL
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
TAM
1 - 2
ALF
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 2
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |