Brabrand vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
RIN
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAE
6 - 0
BRA
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
KJE
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
THI
2 - 1
BRA
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 1
VAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRØ
1 - 1
ACH
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 1
ACH
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 0
VEJ
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
HBK
0 - 2
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 1
VEN
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |