Brabrand vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
11º
7º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brabrand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 3
ESB
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
ODD
2 - 2
BRA
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
IFL
0 - 1
BRA
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 0
FA2
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
THI
0 - 4
AAF
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AIA
0 - 9
AAF
4%
9%
87%
|
57 | 8 | 49 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
MID
3 - 2
AAF
23%
22%
55%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 1
IFL
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |