Olímpia FC vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
BER
4 - 2
OLI
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 1
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
OLI
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAR
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
DES
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SJS
5 - 0
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FLA
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |