Boys' Town vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boys' Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TRI
3 - 1
BOY
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BOY
2 - 1
SSC
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 1
BOY
59%
24%
17%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BOY
1 - 2
HAR
36%
30%
35%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
BOY
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 2
LIO
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
MON
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 1
WAT
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
POR
0 - 1
WAT
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
2 - 1
SSC
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |