Boyacá Chicó vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
0 - 1
CHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CUC
2 - 1
CHI
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAS
35%
28%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
3 - 1
CHI
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
2 - 2
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
COR
4 - 1
REA
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
ALI
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
REA
2 - 2
TFC
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 0
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
REA
3 - 4
RIO
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |