Boyacá Chicó vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
UNI
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 2
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
LEO
32%
24%
45%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
1 - 1
CAR
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |