Boyacá Chicó vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
5 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CHI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGU
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
CAR
68%
20%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 2
ONC
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |