Boyacá Chicó vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AME
4 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 0
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HUI
4 - 0
CHI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 3
IND
35%
28%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 1
ONC
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
ONC
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CUC
2 - 1
ONC
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
4 - 1
QUI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ONC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |