Boyacá Chicó vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 0
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
CHI
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 2
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
IND
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |